What To Watch ForĬandidates will face competitive races for several House and Senate seats, according to Cook Political Report, which lists five Senate and 33 House races as “toss ups.” Three House seats in Nevada-where Republicans have not won in presidential elections since 2004, but where Democratic support may be shrinking-could also go either way, according to Cook. One in five GOP voters, meanwhile, believe Trump’s behavior on January 6 constituted a threat to American democracy. For Democrats, the biggest concerns with Biden are his age-79-and his job performance. A Morning Consult/POLITICO poll found that 46 percent of American voters say they would pick a Democrat in their district if the elections were held today, whereas only 42 percent say they would choose a Republican. The congressional control importance metric is slightly higher among those who want Democrats (63) than those who want Republicans (59) leading Congress. Recent polling from the New York Times/Siena College suggests support for both Biden and Trump is falling, with two-thirds of Democratic voters saying they want a different candidate besides Biden in 2024, and half of Republicans saying they don’t want Trump to run in the next presidential election. New York (Knewz) Democrats hold the edge when it comes to the midterm elections, according to a new poll. The redistricting process has also helped Democrats somewhat, with six new Democratic-leaning seats and no new Republican-leaning seats compared to old maps, according to FiveThirtyEight, which said court decisions overturning Republican gerrymandered maps in states like North Carolina helped fuel these victories. Wade decision, arguing turning out at the polls is the best way to respond, and recent surveys suggest the ruling indeed may be motivating more Americans to vote. Democrats are trying to capitalize on the Roe v. Still, Republicans may face a much more challenging battle in the Senate, where the quality of the individual candidates matters more, according to FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver. But skyrocketing inflation levels, dissatisfaction with Biden and an ongoing Covid-19 pandemic may make matters even worse for Democrats this year. 2022 Election Democrats blast Minnesota GOP candidate's 'vote with bullets' remarks The candidate, Stephen Lowell, responded by saying he wasn't calling for violence but was simply warning about. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell speaks at a news conference following the weekly Senate Republican Caucus Meeting in the U.S. Historically, the president’s party tends to lose House seats in midterm elections. And as Democrats hope recent legislative successes will bolster them this fall, Republicans are betting they can win back control. Recent analyses from FiveThirtyEight and Cook Political Report suggest Republicans are highly likely to take control of the House, where they could pick up as many as 25 seats, and are at a slight advantage for winning the Senate as well, where Cook Political report says 11 seats are strong, likely or lean Democrat, compared to 19 seats that are strong, likely or lean Republican. We're now less than three months away from the midterm elections.